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10 Jun 2010

Hedge Funds Report Biggest Monthly Losses Since Lehman Collapse

Author: cmccaffrey | Filed under: Uncategorized

According to Bloomberg.com, hedge funds lost an average of 2.7 percent in May according to the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index, as the sovereign debt crisis in Europe prompted declines in stocks, the euro and commodities, and the gap between the yields in U.S. short-term and long-term debt narrowed. This was the biggest decline in the industry since November of 2008, when hedge funds lost 3 percent in the wake of Lehman Brothers’ collapse two months earlier.

Almost every strategy lost money in May, according to Hedge Fund Research Inc. in Chicago, as the Dow index of 30 big stocks sank 7.6 percent including dividends amid speculation that Greece’s debt problems would spread to nations such as Spain and Portugal. Some of the best-known funds saw their gains for this year erased.

John Paulson’s fund lost 6.9 percent through May 21, bringing its year to date loss to 3.3 percent. Halvorsen’s Viking Global fund fell 3.4 percent in the same span and 2.9 percent for the year. Bacon’s Moore Global declined 7.7 percent as of May 20 and 4.8 percent in 2010, investors said. Representatives for these funds declined to comment. Paulson, Halvorsen and Bacon have among the best long-term returns in the industry, each with average gains of 20 percent or more since inception.

SAC capital also suffered losses, but only 2.9 percent, reducing this year’s gain to 4 percent. Citadel is said to have lost 2 percent and Brevan Howard .1 percent, respectively.

The measures many managers, including Paulson, Halvorsen, and Bacon, put in place to hedge against falling markets didn’t work. Their bets on falling stocks didn’t make enough money to counter losses in shares the managers expected to climb. Commodities lost heavily in may, taking losses of 8.2 percent according to the UBS Bloomberg CMCI Index. In addition, those expecting economic growth suffered losses when the difference between payouts on two-year and 10-year Treasury notes narrowed instead.

A few funds actually gained. Among them, notably Caxton Associates LLC rose 1 percent as of May 21 and was up 4.5 percent for the year. Autonomy Capital Research LLP gained .7 percent and is up 12.5 percent for the year.

Robert Gibbins, manager for the $1.5 billion firm, said his trades were based on the forecast that global economies won’t improve until currencies are better aligned, and in particular Chinese officials agree to let the yuan strengthen, he said.

Gibbins said his profitable trades included wagers that the S&P 500 would fall and that interest rates in a number of countries would slide.

BAM Capital LLC, a $300 million hedge-fund firm in New York that bets on price volatility, returned 7.7 percent last month through May 21 with its main BAM Opportunity Fund LP, bringing its gain for the year to 8.2 percent, according to an investor.

However, despite a turbulent May, price swings haven’t changed managers’ attitudes views on whether the global economy is in trouble or recovering.

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  • Kckclass
    Hedge funds lost money because like both Private Equity and Large Institutional Investments, most Hedge Fund Managers are operating under an obsolete playbook. Its like going into a Pro U.S. football game with plays from a 1950's book you found in your college gymnasium under the locker room bench: you're going to get creamed on the field and only a few lucky ones will come out alive. There are changes on the horizon and changes today...in the present...that must, by rules of prudence if nothing else, be integrated into fund management and any savvy plans to obtain expected yields. For example, people are trading currencies, waiting for Japan to crash like Greece or Iceland...or they're playing news and fundamentals, waiting for copper to skyrocket or oil to rise or fall, with the recent news that China's growth is slowing down. This is old style boys and girls...there are bigger fish swimming in this river that affect the current - bigger than even China or Brazil or India, Russia, the U.S. or Germany...combined...and if you don't know what's bigger than all of that "combined" then you have a 1950's play book.
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